Institutional-grade quantitative simulation for prediction market traders on Polymarket, Kalshi, and beyond.
Free during beta · First 100 get lifetime Pro pricing
50,000 Monte Carlo paths · Polymarket CLOB · 95% confidence interval
Run 50,000 paths per contract. Get fair value estimates, full probability distributions, and confidence intervals — not just a single price.
Real-time Bayesian updating as live data streams in. Watch your probability estimate evolve during Fed announcements, election nights, and earnings.
Cross-market dependency analysis with Gaussian, Student-t, and Clayton copulas. Portfolio-level risk management, not just single contracts.
Every existing prediction market tool shows you data (Tier 1) or AI summaries (Tier 2). EdgedUp is the first to offer institutional-grade quantitative simulation — the tools that quant desks use internally, now available to independent traders. We don't just show you what the market thinks. We show you where the market is wrong — and by how much.
The prediction market tool landscape has two tiers. We're creating the third.
Price alerts, whale tracking, leaderboards, portfolio views. Necessary, but commoditized at $0–15/mo.
AI-generated research, news summaries, sentiment scores. Useful context, but limited actionable edge.
Monte Carlo pricing, particle filters, copula correlation, tail-risk analysis. Institutional tools, individual access.
We're building. Join the waitlist and be first to trade with a quantitative edge.